Rams at Seattle: The ‘under’ has gone 9-3 in the last 12 meetings but that was when defense was stressed in the NFL and both clubs rolled out top units. Beathard last week but one touchdown came from the Niners defense and another on an 82-yard pass play.
SF posted 27 points behind backup QB C.J. The Cardinals had their best offensive effort (17 points) last week but are still ranked last in scoring (9.2 PPG). Since the Bolts moved to Los Angeles, they’re averaging 26.7 PPG at the Carson venue.Īrizona at San Francisco: The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run and that includes a streak of three in a row to the low side. This is a high total based on the weak defensive numbers for both the Raiders (30.8 PPG) and Chargers (30 PPG).
Chargers: Four of the last five and seven of the previous nine meetings in this series have watched the ‘under’ connect. Going back to last season, Green Bay has watched the ‘over’ go 8-1 in its last nine road games and the Packers have surrendered 30-plus points in six of those games. Green Bay at Detroit: The last five games in this series have gone ‘over’ and Detroit has averaged 27.8 PPG during this span. Cleveland has scored 21 in each of its first two home games and 39 of those 42 points came in the second-half. The Baltimore defense (16.2 PPG) is playing great football so far. Listed below are the five largest leans for Week 5 per the betting trend percentages on the VI Matchup Index as of Saturday morning.īaltimore at Cleveland: The ‘under’ has cashed in the last three encounters and Cleveland hasn’t scored more than 10 points in any of those games. Listed below are the largest line moves for Week 5 as of Saturday morning per. The Rams-Seahawks game fits for Week 5 since Los Angeles played at home last Thursday versus Minnesota. The angle calls for finding out who played at home on Thursday in the previous week and playing the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue. The popular “Thursday Night Total” system is sitting at 3-0 this season after the Browns and Raiders played to a shootout last Sunday. The Panthers have seen the ‘over’ cash in their last four games ‘off the bye’ while the Redskins have watched their totals break even (2-2) in the first four years under head coach Jay Gruden. Carolina and Washington are both playing with rest this weekend. The ‘under’ is 2-1 in games that have closed below 40 points this season. Tennessee and Buffalo are staring at a total of 39 as of Saturday morning, the lowest number on the board. Through four weeks, the ‘under’ has gone 6-5 in games that have closed at 50 points or higher. We have five totals sitting in the fifties this week. Arizona has watched the ‘under’ start 4-0 and while the offense has slightly improved each week, the Cardinals defense has been better too. The trio include Cincinnati (31.5 PPG, 28.2 PPG) Tampa Bay (28 PPG, 34.8 PPG) and the L.A. Only three teams in the league have watched the ‘over’ cash in all four of their games and it’s clearly related to the great combination of a solid offense and weak defense. Bettors should note that the ‘over’ was 32-31 through the first four weeks of 2017.” The correction in the totals has kept the ‘over/under’ market in check. In 2017 through four games that average was 44.2 so you can see how the books are adjusting for the higher-scoring games. So far in 2018 the average O/U set by the oddsmakers on a game is 45.67. Kostroski explained, “Yes, scoring is up this year in the NFL, but so is the average total set by the s. While we’ve seen an influx of scoring, the totals market has held steady and most of that balance is derived from the oddsmakers. Last week, the ‘over’ produced a 9-6 record and the high side is 34-29 (54%) on the season. Thus far in the first four weeks of 2018, the average points scored per game is 47.9 PPG, which is a jump of over four-points per game compared to last season,” said Kostroski. The yearly average points scored in 2017 ended up at 43.6 PPG, which is slightly lower than the first four-week average. “Through the first four weeks of the 2017 season, the average total points scored in an NFL game was 43.7 points per game. handicapper Lee Kostroski of ASA Sports took a closer look at the increase in scoring this season and how it’s affected the totals market. Almost every team has played a quarter of their season and the scoreboard operators have been working overtime so far.